Our Methodology
How SolarSavingsAI calculates solar savings estimates, ROI projections, and incentive data. We believe in transparency and want you to understand exactly how our numbers are derived.
Data Sources
Our data comes from publicly available government and industry sources:
- Federal Incentives: U.S. Department of Energy (energy.gov), IRS guidance on the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRS.gov).
- State Incentives: Database of State Incentives for Renewables & Efficiency (DSIRE), state energy office publications.
- Utility Policies: Individual utility company tariff filings, public rate schedules, and interconnection guidelines.
- Solar Irradiance: National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) solar resource data and PVWatts calculator methodology.
- Installation Costs: EnergySage marketplace data, NREL annual solar cost benchmarks, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory reports.
- Electricity Rates: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) state and utility rate data.
How We Calculate Savings
System Production
We estimate annual solar production using: Annual kWh = System Size (kW) × Peak Sun Hours × 365. Peak sun hours vary by location and represent the number of hours per day when solar irradiance averages 1,000 W/m². Data sourced from NREL solar resource maps.
Annual Savings
Annual electric bill savings are calculated as: Annual Savings = Annual kWh × Local Electricity Rate. We use current average residential rates from the EIA State Electricity Profiles.
Incentive Stacking
We calculate total incentives by combining: the 30% federal ITC (per IRS guidelines), applicable state tax credits, state rebates, SREC income, and property/sales tax exemptions. Each incentive is applied to the appropriate cost basis per DOE guidance.
Net Cost & Break-Even
Net cost equals gross system cost minus all incentives. Break-even year is when cumulative electricity savings exceed the net system cost.
20-Year Projection
Our 20-year savings estimate uses current electricity rates held constant. Actual savings may be higher if rates increase, which they historically have at 2-3% annually per EIA data.
Editorial Review Process
All content on SolarSavingsAI undergoes a structured review process:
- Data Verification: Cross-referenced against at least two authoritative sources (DOE, IRS, DSIRE, NREL, EIA).
- Calculation Audit: ROI projections validated against NREL PVWatts benchmarks.
- Regular Updates: Content reviewed quarterly for accuracy against current incentive programs.
- Corrections Policy: Errors are corrected within 48 hours of identification.
Limitations & Disclaimers
- All estimates are approximate and based on averages. Your actual results will vary based on roof orientation, shading, system design, and specific equipment.
- We do not account for electricity rate escalation, panel degradation (typically 0.5%/year), or inflation in our baseline projections.
- Incentive programs change frequently. Always verify current availability with your state energy office, utility, and tax professional.
- This site does not provide financial, tax, or legal advice. Consult qualified professionals before making purchase decisions.
Update Frequency
- Federal incentives: Updated when legislation changes (source: energy.gov)
- State programs: Reviewed quarterly (source: DSIRE)
- Utility policies: Reviewed quarterly
- Installation costs: Updated semi-annually (source: NREL)
- Electricity rates: Updated annually (source: EIA)
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Now that you understand our methodology, get a savings estimate based on your specific location and usage.